and what about Stanislaw Lem?

by Elan Moritz
9/23/02 late PM

  Quite by accident, I stumbled yesterday across a reference to Lem's SUMMA TECHNOLOGIAE. I forget what I was searching for. (its coming back now  ... I was exploring longevity and sequoia trees)  Anyway, I stumbled into something that I should have come across a long long time ago. Boom ... it landed in my lap, or rather I landed into the ubiquitous cyberlap.  I landed in 'Pasquill on the evolution' territory. As I was readying to takeoff and forget the in-surf, something caught my eye. In the section The autoevolutionary machine what appeared to be a sleazy discussion on computer dating stopped me cold in my tracks.  The section in question "For a couple of years, computers - only a few, for the time being - have been working in the U.S. which are programmed for marriage-broking. A "machine matchmaker" chooses the couples which fit best together with respect to physical and mental properties. According to the (still rather sparse) data the duration of these relationships which were formed by a machine is about two times larger than that of usual marriages."

My first reaction 'just another factoid' ... but then a little gnawing feeling ... no, this is not just another factoid ... there may be something quite profound here. "the duration of these relationships which were formed by a machine is about two times larger than that of usual marriages".   According to Stan (Stanislaw) Summa technologiae was written in 1963.  Its almost 2003.  OK, maybe I shouldn't have seen this until 1973.  But a 30 year lag ... how could this happen ... Is it because "Stan the Man" is Polish and Summa was published in Polish? Google returns 25,500 hits for "Stanislaw Lem". DMOZ returns 21. His science fiction book "Solaris" has been made into a movie  1972 by  legendary Russian film director Tarkovsky; as of 2001 it appears that Steven Soderbergh, of “Sex, Lies and Videotape”, “Erin Brockovich”,  “Traffic”, and “Ocean’s Eleven" fame, is authoring  the screenplay treatment and directing the movie remake.  George Clooney apparently agreed to play main character Kris Kelvin while Natasha McElhone (“The Truman Show”) will impersonate Harey, Kris’s tragic love. ... AGAIN - WHAT IS GOING ON HERE?   Hello ... how did we miss this?  Is it just me? 

Back to matchmaking ...

Stan states (I need to examine current stats -  will report on this later) " Over the last few years, the average age of the partners in a marriage has been decreasing, but marriages are divorced within 5 years in 50% of the cases,  such that there are a lot of ...children without normal parental care."  This is getting interesting now.   THATS THE GRABBER ... not the marriage partners per se ... but the children ... "No replacement for parental upbringing has been invented yet, since this is not merely a question of financial means to support the corresponding institutions (day-nurseries); there is no substitution for parental feelings, and their early and lasting absence does not only cause negative childhood experiences, but the formation of possibly irreversible defects  ...." (my emphasis)  ... this is what caught my eye. Machine matchmaking has the potential to reduce negative childhood experiences .... Think about this  ...  what is the payoff of  substuntially reducing negative childhood experiences?  How about less crime down the road?  How about a more creative and uplifting social environment? How about all around better citizens?  Is there anything you might imagine as a result of positive rather than negative childhood experiences?

Stan provides a number of more detailed technical arguments ...

At the direct level ...

"This is the current situation. People form pairs in random ways, which one could call "Brownian" - for they join together after a number of brief contacts, when they finally meet the "right" partner, which is seemingly confirmed by mutual attraction. However, this realization really is rather accidental (since is turns out to be erroneous in 50% of all cases). "Machine matchmakers" will change that state of affairs. Appropriate investigations equip the machine with knowledge about the psychosomatic properties of the candidates, after which this machine will choose pairs which fit together optimally. The machine does not remove the freedom of choice, since it does not point out only one single candidate. Acting probabilistically, it suggests a choice from a selected group within a certain reliability interval, where the machine can assemble such groups choosing from  m i l l i o n s  of people, whereas the individual, acting traditionally, by "random methods", will be able to meet a few hundred people at most during his whole life.  "

At the macro level ...

"Those "machine matchmakers" may have very serious consequences for our species. When the personal genotypic repertory is deciphered and stored in the machine's memory, together with the established "psychosomatic personality profiles", the task of the matchmaker will be to make a choice which not only fits a person to another, but also one genotype to another. Thus there will be a two-step selection. First the machine separates classes of partners which correspond psychosomatically, and thereafter it subjects them to a second-level sifting, rejecting those candidates for which there is a considerable probability of producing children which are unwanted in some respect."  

Obviously, beyond the standard issues,  there are a number of ethical issues involved ...

So how does this relate to KNOWLEDGE  .... well there's the factoid and speculative aspects ... of what can we do with machine matchmaking if we regard it as a serious tool ... and then there's a realization about METAKNOWLEDGE ... We still are missing a lot of available knowledge.

The index entries for SUMMA suggests that among others, the following topics are explored:  Cosmic Civilizations, Statistics of cosmic civilizations, Metatheory of miracles , The uniqueness of Man, Intelligence: chance or necessity? Hypotheses, Votum separatum, Perspectives,  Intellectronics,  Return to earth, The megabit bomb, The big game, Myths of science, The intelligence amplifier, The black box, On the ethics of homeostates, The dangers of electrocracy
Cybernetics and sociology, Belief and information, Experimental metaphysics, Beliefs of electrobrains, The spirit in the machine, Problems with information, Doubts and antinomies,     Prolegomena to omnipotence, Before chaos, Chaos and order, Scylla and Charybdis, i.e., on moderation, The silence of the Designer, Insanity with method, A new Linneus, i.e., on systematics
Models and reality, Plagiarisms and creations, The area of imitology, Phantomology, The basics of phantomology , The phantomatic machine, Marginal and central phantomology, The limits of phantomology, Cerebromatics, Teletaxation and phantoplication, Personality and information, The creation of worlds, Introduction, Information growing, Language engineering, Engineering of transcendence, Cosmogonic engineering, Pasquill on the evolution, Reconstruction of the species
The construction of life , The construction of death, The construction of consciousness, Error based constructions, Bionics and cybernetics, The reconstruction of Man, Cyborgization, The autoevolutionary machine.

These are accessible only to those fluent in Polish and German.  Clearly there's a disadvantage to those who don't master these fine continental languages .... This is a serious problem ... perhaps there's a piece of knowledge or speculation there that is a huge missing link in some towering intellectual edifice ...  perhaps we've been delayed unnecessarily   ... perhaps we're using up resources that might not need to be used up.  All becuase of a nail ... a missing nail in this case. 

There's more to the story ... but there's not much more of this night left .... so ... Mańana ...

 

in the meanwhile ... I've assembled a sampler of Lem  titles in English  (see below)

 

 

 

 

 

 

ancilliary notes:

Polish Edtitions:
Wydawnictwo Literackie, Kraków, 1964 
Wydawnictwo Literackie, Kraków, 1967
Wydawnictwo Literackie, Kraków, 1974
Wydawnictwo Lubelskie, Lublin, 1984
Interart, Warszawa, 1996

Polish: S. Lem "Summa Technologiae", Wydanie czwarte poszerzone, Wyd. Lubelskie, Lublin 1984.  German: S. Lem "Summa Technologiae", suhrkamp taschenbuch 678, Erste Auflage, Suhrkamp Taschenbuch Verlag 1981.

animis opibusque parati - what does this have to do with anything? 



Untitled Books:
Solaris
The Cyberiad: Fables for the Cybernetic Age 
Memoirs Found in a Bathtub
Tales of Pirx the Pilot
The Futurological Congress (From the Memoirs of Ijon Tichy)
Fiasco
Peace on Earth
Mortal Engines
Star Diaries
His Master's Voiceby Michael Kandel
His Master's Voice
The Investigation
More Tales of Pirx the Pilot
Eden
Imaginary Magnitude
The Chain of Chance
Microworlds: Writings on Science Fiction and Fantasy
Stanislaw Lemby Richard E. Ziegfeld

This page is continuously under improvement. Return often, tell your friends, link to us


while not exactly immediately relevant ... I came across DISENCHANTED's Fly by wire article discussing the evolution of Digital Fly by Wire from the F-8 and on.  The interesting item here was the "Do What I Mean:  or DWIM metaphor ... interesting  ... to say the least.

Another interesting article at DISENCHANTED is the one about PC - TV - INTERNET convergence. Lots of LEMLIKE speculation about on the fly semantic processing that will force improvements in television and advertising. Interesting concept here is the TV show as container-for-advertising. MMM have to chew on this for a while. Dis explores Andy Grove and TiVo.

sort-of-blog here (UTC Time based on Super Clock)

Thursday, September 26, 2002, at 2:55:07 AM -  Micro-Optimization Vs Macro-Optimization.


 

 





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